NZ Politics Daily - 22 September 2017

22 September 2017
Today's content
Below are the links to the items online. The full text of these items are contained in the PDF file (click to download).
Final polls and forecasts
Colin James (RNZ): Poll of the final polls - too complicated to call
Andy Fyers (Stuff): Stuff poll of polls: Election result too close to call
Harkanwal Singh (Herald): Vote 2017: Herald Election Forecast - the final reckoning
David Farrar (Kiwiblog): Who might be an MP on the average of the polls
David Farrar (Kiwiblog): 2017 election polls
In the Balance: Election forecast: National to get a fourth term
Toby Manhire (Spinoff): The final poll, and one that befits a pulsating campaign
Dene Mackenzie (ODT): NZ First support seems likely
Patrick Gower (Newshub): Newshub election poll: Either National, Labour could take power
Patrick Gower (Newshub): This election, it is all on the line
Patrick Gower (Newshub): Newshub poll: Winston Peters returns as kingmaker
Anna Bracewell-Worrall (Newshub): Newshub poll: New Zealanders want to see the Greens in Parliament
Anna Bracewell-Worrall (Newshub):Newshub poll: How the politicians reacted
Henry Cooke (Stuff): A final poll shock: Either side could govern, but National is just ahead
Audrey Young (Herald): New Herald-Kantar poll: What's driving how we will vote?
Martyn Bradbury (Daily Blog): Latest UMR Poll: National 43 Labour 38 NZF 8 Green 7 TOP 2.7
Looking back at the campaign
Audrey Young (Herald): Remarkable Ardern, rejuvenated English
Newshub: Paddy Gower’s top five election campaign moments
Tracy Watkins and Vernon Small (Stuff): An extraordinary campaign will get the extraordinary election it deserves
Jane Patterson (RNZ): All bets off in 'extraordinary' election
Claire Trevett (Herald): The trails of Bill English and Jacinda Ardern
Toby Manhire (Herald): Shocks galore in extraordinary election
Steve Braunias (Herald): The best of election 2017
Karl du Fresne (Stuff): Heads, hearts and polls in a spin
Richard Harman (Politik): So now what?
Leonie Hayden (Spinoff): Seat watch: the Māori electorates
Finlay Macdonald (RNZ): Instinct, not policy, still winning at the ballot
Jon Stokes (Herald): Whichever way it goes, Maori may get little out of this election
Tom Sainsbury (Spinoff): The Kiwis of Snachat election omnibus
Henry Cooke (Stuff): When Jacinda Ardern knifed Metiria Turei, she changed the election for good
Henry Cooke (Stuff): Lies, damn lies, and elections: The biggest mistruths this campaign
Henry Cooke (Stuff): Politically Correct: After all this time, it's still up to Winston
Laura Walters (Stuff): New Labour leader changed election campaign
Alex Tarrant (Interest): Top 10 of final election thoughts
Newsroom: Best and worst of the 2017 campaign
Rachel Smalley (Newstalk ZB): A good government needs a strong opposition
Dene Mackenzie (ODT): Southern communities on the outer
Herald Editorial: A shift in priorities as country goes to the polls
Grant Miller (Stuff): A cliffhanger or has Labour run out of steam?
ODT: Election choices in close race
Newshub: Decision 17: Twitter's dramatic differences on final leaders debate
Branko Marcetic (Jacobin): New Zealand’s Paper Left
What to expect after Saturday
David Farrar (Kiwiblog): What will Winston do?
Audrey Young (Herald): Biggest party might not lead new Government
Michael Daly (Stuff): National could get many more votes than any other party and still not be in the next government
Janine Hayward (ODT): What you need to know: Coalition building
Barry Soper (Newstalk ZB): Minor party leaders set to make the difference
Tim Watkin (Pundit): How your vote may turn into a government
Phil Quin (Newsroom): The likely players in a Labour dream team
Dan Sathereley (Newshub): Clarke Gayford looking forward to being 'First Ladyman'
Alex Tarrant (Interest): ACT’s David Seymour says he will work with Winston Peters if that’s what National needs to form centre-right govt
Tim Murphy (Newsroom): WWSD - What Will Steven Do?
Election day
RNZ: Sun to turn out on election day
ODT: A wet election day predicted for South
Anna Rankin (Newshub): Does the weather affect election turnout?
Katarina Williams (Stuff): Warning issued after sportsmen sin binned for Election Day tweets
Election night
The Spinoff’s bumper guide to watching the election results tomorrow
Mark Jennings (Newsroom): Broadcasters’ Saturday night fever
Katie Parker (The Wireless): How to spend your election night: A guide
Calum Henderson (Spinoff): Five things election night TV coverage could learn from Havoc and Newsboy
Dene Mackenzie (ODT): Election night: survival guide
Katie Newton (Stuff): Election party: Jacinda lollies, strong 'covfefe'
Final hours of the campaign
Vernon Small (Stuff):Ardern slams National's tax 'lie', but its impact haunts her to the end
Tracy Watkins (Stuff): Life on the never-ending campaign trail
Herald: Jacinda Ardern breaks from the campaign trail to attend grandmother's funeral
TVNZ: Watch: Paula Bennett belts out 'Natural Woman' on packed National Party campaign bus
Newshub: National gives Aussies campaign access for elections tips
Kirsty Johnston (Herald): Winston Peters 'confident' of winning Northland
Tim Murphy (Newsroom): Winston’s last stand
Jo Moir (Stuff): Winston Peters would have advised Jacinda Ardern against tax promises
Shane Cowlishaw (Newsroom): Brutal battle for Māori Party’s survival
Herald: Marama Fox on the polls: 'Holy crap - come on people, party vote Māori!'
Isaac Davison (Herald): Green leader James Shaw on recent polls: 'The trend for us is up'
Stacey Kirk (Stuff): It ain't easy being Green - but with TOP voters' support it might be improved
Tim Murphy (Newsroom): The party that came back from the dead
Newshub: 'Yes we cannabis!' - New Greens election billboard
Siobhan Wilson (RNZ): TOP, Greens wrangle for party vote
Stacey Kirk (Stuff): Gareth Morgan: 'Greens too left wing to be effective'
Anna Bracewell-Worrall and Isobel Ewing (Newshub): David Seymour softens stance on Winston Peters then calls him racist
Martyn Bradbury (Daily Blog): Why I am voting National for the first time in my life
Voting
Sarah Robson (RNZ): Hundreds of thousands still not enrolled
Gwynn Compton (Digital libertas): Enrolment update - under 39s starting to claw back
Michael Daly (Stuff): Advance voting is surging - but for those yet to vote, here are some simple instructions
Newshub: Decision 17: Friday's your last chance to enrol to vote
Mark Sainsbury (Newshub): No excuses for any of us to abstain from election duty
Bernard Hickey (Newsroom): There may have been a youth-quake
Jenna Lynch (Newshub): Decision 17: 'Youthquake' arrives in New Zealand
Mike Hosking (Newstalk ZB): There is no 'youth quake'
Gwynn Compton (Libertas Digital): Enrolment data doesn't yet support youthquake
Herald: A simple 'like' can reveal who you'll vote for
Nelson Mail Editorial: Taking the chance to have your say
Cherie Sivignon (Stuff): Tight election race draws the voters
Kim Grigg (RNZ): Those bloody women: Could they shift the vote?
Robin Martin (RNZ): Rangatahi at Ngā Manu Kōrero: 'It's time to do something about our political participation'
Paperboy: How we vote: talking politics with parents
Kirsten Warner (Spinoff): Bring An Adult To Vote: How kids are helping turn around low voter turnout
Tim Newman (Southland Times): Voters harassed at polling booth
Jeremy Olds (Stuff): Woman enrolled to vote in three countries
Charlie Gates (Stuff): Billy Boy or Jacinda Fever? The choice is yours
Voting declarations
Chris Trotter (Bowalley Road): You’re Wrong Keith: We Have To Do This NOW.
Stephanie Rodgers (Boots Theory): What I’m voting for tomorrow
David Farrar (Kiwiblog): If we had preferential voting, here is how I would rank the parties
Martyn Bradbury (Daily Blog): The one image that sums up Election 2017
Policy
Max Rashbrooke (RNZ): A tenuous grasp on inequality
Ben Ogilvie (The Co-op): Policy A Day: Public Service Reform
The Co-op: A Policy A Day: A Conclusion
Other
Herald: Broadcaster David Beatson dies following long illness
David Fisher (Herald): Revealed: The citizenship file of spy trainer turned National MP Jian Yang
Rod Oram (Newsroom): Fact-checking English on income and exports
Richard Gill (Stuff): New approach needed to health and safety
RNZ: Immigration remains high, despite decrease in student migrants
Newshub: Helen Clark sketch fails to get any bids in TradeMe auction

