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Jarrod Hedley's avatar

There is no perfect system.

I think people forget the perilous state of economic affairs NZ was in when Labour took over from Muldoon.

What other economic choices did Labour have to turn the economy around before we went broke? I notice that there are no complaints that they removed most of the subsidies to farmers and the protectionism offered to local manufacturers was reduced over time which, at the time, benefited consumers.

Did Labour get it right? Don't just tell me they didn't...what were the other options to stop the country going broke?

Matt's avatar

Yeah. See the issue here to me is conflation. The rogernomes broke the chokehold of overregulation and control of the economy by the state enabling the private sector to flourish. This place would be much worse off if they had not. They removed many, but not all, distortions in the economy stopping us from being productive.

House price inflation outstripping wage growth however, is primarily driven, somewhat ironically, by a combination of:

1) overregulation in how many dwelling units you can provide and where, we stop people from building both up and out leading to shortages and therefore price rises, and;

2) We tax advantage property investment(1) (with owner-occupier housing being the most advantaged (2) ) over other forms of investment. This pushes housing prices up.

3) New Zealand is a nicer place to live. Higher amenities leads to higher house prices.

4) The international banking regulation through the Basel accords enables less risk-weighted capital to be held against housing assets than other assets. This leads to lower interest rates being enabled on housing over other investments, therefore making housing a better investment (all else equal). This would have happened anyway, and has nothing to do with Rogernomics :)

In summary, there are areas where we can make further progress, removing overregulation and distortions in the economy, and finish the work the Rogernomes started! Doing so would reduce house prices relative to incomes!

(1) https://www.interest.co.nz/public-policy/129449/andrew-coleman-looks-tte-versus-eet-methods-taxing-retirement-savings

(2) https://taxworkinggroup.govt.nz/sites/default/files/2018-09/twg-bg-taxation-of-capital-income-and-wealth.pdf

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